NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d3c7d793d0efb6239786008aa695990f6d4ccc2c290825a8821291bddba92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,660 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars | 48c | 272,656$130,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,596.94 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 52c | 136,726$71,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,628.39 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 52c | 129,999$67,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,399.66 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 68c | 122,642$82,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,787.48 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 47c | 75,000$35,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,249.87 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Avalanche | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 53c | 36,522$19,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,295.66 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 44c | 35,381$15,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,945.23 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Avalanche | 33c | 32,070$10,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,507.65 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 48c | 29,874$14,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,404.96 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Avalanche | 33c | 26,859$8,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,995.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Avalanche | 52c | 15,434$8,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,408.35 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 54c | 13,306$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.92 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…be5dbacked Stars | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Stars | 78c | 9,072$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,052.23 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 9,003$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.69 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Avalanche | 25c | 8,287$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.45 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Stars | 47c | 7,987$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.93 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Avalanche | 33c | 7,564$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Avalanche | 38c | 7,000$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.54 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 46c | 6,745$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.08 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Stars | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Stars | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 43c | 5,977$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.27 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 38c | 5,356$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche | 26c | 5,102$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.87 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 4,603$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Avalanche | 52c | 4,600$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.03 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stars | 62c | 3,932$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.85 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 47c | 3,901$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.47 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.77 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 46c | 3,760$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.1 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 38c | 3,717$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,533$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.1 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 68c | 3,495$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Stars | 47c | 3,169$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,869$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Avalanche | 35c | 2,828$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.34 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,743$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.86 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 28c | 2,486$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.91 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 46c | 2,298$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.17 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 51c | 2,258$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Stars | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Avalanche | 35c | 2,089$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.21 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Stars | 48c | 2,062$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Avalanche | 39c | 2,020$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Stars | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Stars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.97 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,998$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.5 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa50…81f9backed Stars | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…65e8backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.94 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,668$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.96 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 48c | 1,647$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,640$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.6 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Stars | 67c | 1,620$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.33 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche | 34c | 1,591$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.47 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Stars | 51c | 1,527$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,483$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Stars | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Stars | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Avalanche | 35c | 1,222$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.45 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…c199backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,134$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…ae06backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 26c | 1,095$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.68 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Stars | 75c | 1,077$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.83 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…07c3backed Stars | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Avalanche | 26c | 1,021$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.7 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0945backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Avalanche | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Avalanche | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Avalanche | 30c | 999.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.06 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Avalanche | 17c | 972.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.53 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Stars | 49c | 947.08$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.67 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Avalanche | 35c | 919.05$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Stars | 71c | 908.45$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.01 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked Stars | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Stars | 46c | 825$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stars | 54c | 812.65$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.83 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Starsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.