NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361ec616d4259fd36c447bc51ba1e205e900832d2d234436082fcf40ccfd6d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Clippers | 54c | 1,393$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.27 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 46c | 1,391$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Clippers | 25c | 1,014$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 45c | 896.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 47c | 808.87$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 51c | 647.84$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Clippers | 54c | 616.67$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 55c | 595$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers | 56c | 478.48$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 54c | 476.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 49c | 448.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Kings | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 45c | 402.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers | 54c | 287$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Kings | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…c116backed Clippers | 48c | 213.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Clippers | 56c | 193.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Kings | 54c | 189.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Kings | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Kings | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Kings | 44c | 157.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Clippers | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Clippers | 47c | 127.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Clippers | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 44c | 118.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Clippers | 38c | 110.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Clippers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Clippers | 55c | 102.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Kings | 44c | 99.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Kings | 44c | 94.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Clippers | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers | 45c | 73.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Clippers | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Clippers | 57c | 71.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Kings | 47c | 69.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers | 57c | 64.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Kings | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 54c | 57.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Clippers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Clippers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Clippers | 40c | 44.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 52c | 42.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Clippers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Clippers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Kings | 75c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Clippers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Clippers | 38c | 36.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Clippers | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Kings | 54c | 34.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Kings | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Kings | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Kings | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…b2d1backed Clippers | 43c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Clippers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Clippers | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…c5c7backed Clippers | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…3eb5backed Kings | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Kings | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kings | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…578ebacked Clippers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Kings won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kings vs. ClippersKings won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.