TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24fc…ea73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.21
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.46
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.38
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$17.52
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.41
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.05
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.84
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.03
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19.04
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.84
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$54.49
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.98
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$19.29
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$18.93
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+243.5%+$48.69
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.backed Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.32
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canadabacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.18
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Cubabacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$22.6
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$24.6
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombiabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.06
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$39.95
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Colombiabacked Cuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaraguabacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Adelaide United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$15.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.