TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked T154c63,343$34,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,129.9833838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked DN SOOPers46c54,797$25,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,11596948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed T154c44,690$24,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,576.1338735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked DN SOOPers45c25,492$11,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,471.3967056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked DN SOOPers47c18,845$8,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,857.3337245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7501,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed DN SOOPers48c11,444$5,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,477.5912850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed T159c10,321$6,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.7411650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed DN SOOPers47c8,200$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.941,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T149c7,198$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.432,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked DN SOOPers45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked DN SOOPers53c5,832$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.536063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed DN SOOPers45c5,626$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.6221144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed T155c5,348$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.942,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed DN SOOPers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25014637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed T155c4,974$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.2964943.1%280 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked DN SOOPers45c4,370$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.8170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed DN SOOPers44c3,997$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.6923439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked DN SOOPers45c3,982$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.8650040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed DN SOOPers46c3,903$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.2948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed T154c3,786$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.2816844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed T155c3,533$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f3…110abacked T153c2,992$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.141275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed T154c2,769$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.0920454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed DN SOOPers44c2,757$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.077958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed T153c2,266$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.027736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed T153c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.145545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed T155c2,195$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.79785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed T155c2,181$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.3815431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed DN SOOPers27c2,115$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9218447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked T155c1,995$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.6730035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T154c1,973$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.8467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked T155c1,776$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.286540%26 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T153c1,665$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.411,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9757…4584backed DN SOOPers32c1,490$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed DN SOOPers45c1,448$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.397558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers39c1,428$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.221,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed DN SOOPers46c1,355$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.1310648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed T156c1,285$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3931838.1%121 W · 197 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked T154c1,195$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5626856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked DN SOOPers46c1,094$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1528852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers47c1,046$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.541,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed T156c1,043$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9815756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN SOOPers47c984.79$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.052,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked DN SOOPers47c928.68$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4816352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed DN SOOPers47c871.38$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5576953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed T156c864.15$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2516456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DN SOOPers44c794.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5282452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T156c736.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3543640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T153c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7126155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed DN SOOPers46c725.7$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8216251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed T168c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22435054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T155c686.56$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.951,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T155c670.96$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1721154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed T154c651.87$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8617041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed T154c648.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.226453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111f…9bebbacked T153c549.07$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed T154c544.58$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9244042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked T152c539.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7360847.9%291 W · 317 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked T155c529.84$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.439750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked T156c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4927142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked T153c516.12$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.129338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked T155c509.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed T175c500.55$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.324359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked DN SOOPers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed T154c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23029952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed T155c467.84$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed DN SOOPers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.649347.3%44 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked T155c408.54$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7926859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed DN SOOPers47c407.83$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.716346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed DN SOOPers25c399.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.853923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7586…6490backed T155c376.2$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.294057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked T154c363.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.239738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked DN SOOPers47c357.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1464849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed T155c354.74$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.638647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed T155c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked T155c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2225850.4%130 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c9…52afbacked T155c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.222665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed T153c342.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9524147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…16e6backed T158c341.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.311852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd1…3f34backed T155c336.13$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.262931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed T153c323.31$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9537641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed T155c322.06$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9386136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4f…9787backed T171c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked T154c297.43$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8251256.1%287 W · 225 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked T153c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0249541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked DN SOOPers45c290.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5526049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed T155c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4181333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed T155c258.29$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2324656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed T155c224.67$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.112834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a7…c94bbacked T153c221.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.893551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T155c213.15$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.492342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed T153c208.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7920153.7%108 W · 93 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked DN SOOPers48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8820546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed T153c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9411244.6%50 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.