Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96bcc98c97e7880171a4032d38613d376144e8abb2af374434baa57f4572102c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8275…579cbacked Under | 0c | 18,698$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 53c | 6,096$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.53 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.19 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 1,765$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.33 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 47c | 1,142$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.24 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 996.58$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.15 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 46c | 333.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 54c | 184.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Over | 47c | 152.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 47c | 148.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…2b3abacked Under | 54c | 124.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 47c | 65.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Over | 47c | 34.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 48c | 27.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.