TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7736…2b3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.61
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.95
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.48
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.47
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.15
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.57
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+337.5%+$64.38
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.96
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+80%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$60.82
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.09
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$60.07
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.2
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$53.54
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.25
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$62.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+203.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.04
1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.