TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS23c7,909$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.8896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BIG49c3,913$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.5432440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed BIG77c3,039$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0823674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS22c2,987$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.361,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG79c2,600$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.92,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS51c1,698$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.811,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS43c1,600$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68035346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BIG77c1,479$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.242,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked BIG77c1,442$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6216352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS25c1,432$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7726443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS32c1,417$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7161045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS10c1,062$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.671,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed BIG79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed BIG76c944.23$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.624562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG55c920.95$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.461,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS28c803.43$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.75637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cfd…cd33backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked BIG78c741.24$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.941,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS46c733.14$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.711,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS51c702$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1127254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed BIG56c697.92$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6649253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked BIG75c680.39$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BIG70c664.11$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7899338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS43c616.47$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.671,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS19c535.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.593,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG74c529.12$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed BIG76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BIG76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG72c489.76$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked BIG47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5717339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS45c469.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.423946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BIG57c450.36$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9369539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed BIG70c446.94$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.925757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed BIG48c443.71$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6363161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…07b2backed BIG76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.375856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS25c386.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4439246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS23c381.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7556650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed BIG49c355.22$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5350647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS27c351.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7360538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826c…cd27backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.748245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked BIG76c317.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2535164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a9…8350backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS23c316.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS18c314.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.87512%9 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BIG38c303.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked BIG76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked BIG49c297.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3320550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed BIG77c295.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0519157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS12c291.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.792528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed BIG80c282.48$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.918665.6%122 W · 64 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS41c281.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BIG61c279.69$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.72,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked BIG74c279.54$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6848652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked BIG80c266.93$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4282161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS60c266.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0957151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS12c266.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4722636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS23c226.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.514735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…895dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS34c209.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8810954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BIG77c197.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3753649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS34c195.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.612,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed BIG77c191.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9651044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS23c179.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.771,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed BIG77c178.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1629948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee2…7c8cbacked BIG77c174.55$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS57c172$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.48938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS24c159.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1880832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7736…2b3abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS13c146.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.962958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS58c146.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9199747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS50c146$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7356341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS24c140.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7284041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c9…8466backed BIG77c137.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS24c136.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7618121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed BIG49c135.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3764451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed BIG67c132.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.621,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed BIG63c130.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7350549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed BIG77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed BIG77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4624845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed BIG78c126.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9924759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76a…47c0backed BIG78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8328756.1%161 W · 126 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bae…ae9fbacked BIG80c124.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9424563.7%156 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed BIG77c123.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed BIG76c111.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0918640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS36c106.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6542847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS25c104.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1426154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e6…e414backed BIG76c103.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…ceafbacked BIG77c102.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe574…68a7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked BIG67c98.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6768557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS25c97.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4292450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9524741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed BIG43c92.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8335844.4%159 W · 199 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed BIG43c91.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3930146.2%139 W · 162 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS34c91.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.116950.3%85 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed BIG43c91.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BIG74c87.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed BIG45c87.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.351040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2a…bff2backed BIG77c87.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick76cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x102c…7b22backed BIG67c85.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0c…988ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS26c79.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.75028%14 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.