TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bf7…6d62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$354.55
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$549
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$187.99
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$243
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$238
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.47
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$210.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$306.75
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.2
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$58.8
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.95
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.4
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.86
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$294
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winnerbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$132.02
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$161
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.72
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$101.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.7
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$587.71
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.2
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$446.36
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$309.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.57
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.75
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$414.87
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.06
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$446.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.72
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.29
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.48
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.89
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$106.22
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$241.92
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$652.26
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.67
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.35
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.29
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.04
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$554.59
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.94
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs GenOne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$171.35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$547.93
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$159.97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$478.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.8
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.36
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.4
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.05
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.64
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$281.99
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$320.74
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$195.71
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$370.43
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$413
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.