Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63ef5e971ab0dfe82770f63b9e7bc7bdf16c669f66c3bf6126d96519a5d710a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $752,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 45c | 88,182$39,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,691.75 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 59c | 64,106$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,105.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 54,599$31,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,785.72 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 26,156$15,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.46 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 40c | 23,544$9,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,530 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 40c | 21,265$8,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,551.03 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 41c | 15,155$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 14,562$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.37 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Aurora | 46c | 14,303$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 19c | 12,449$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.43 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 42c | 11,666$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.04 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 56c | 11,526$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.76 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 44c | 11,264$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 11,235$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.55 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 10,000$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.8 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 72c | 7,670$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.57 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 43c | 7,245$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.82 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 6,653$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.81 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 39c | 6,597$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.17 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 6,486$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.8 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 6,479$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.75 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 58c | 6,341$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.09 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 6,165$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.46 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION | 56c | 5,971$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.17 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 5,763$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.46 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 5,609$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.63 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked PARIVISION | 62c | 5,336$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.46 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed PARIVISION | 75c | 5,329$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.24 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.95 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 42c | 4,337$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.37 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 46c | 4,120$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.97 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora | 38c | 3,976$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.81 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 25c | 3,924$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Aurora | 28c | 3,547$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora | 29c | 3,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked PARIVISION | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.6 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Aurora | 38c | 3,316$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 46c | 3,239$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 3,092$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.03 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 54c | 3,030$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.79 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.28 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 38c | 2,835$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.62 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 21c | 2,770$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.01 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 42c | 2,747$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.09 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Aurora | 50c | 2,638$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 2,538$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.92 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 20c | 2,487$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.66 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 2,219$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.08 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 2,181$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.35 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 26c | 2,174$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.23 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 2,082$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.21 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 42c | 2,065$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.16 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Aurora | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…2ab5backed Aurora | 50c | 1,986$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 38c | 1,975$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 42c | 1,972$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.9 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Aurora | 19c | 1,956$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,915$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,844$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.01 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,831$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,817$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 40c | 1,713$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.06 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,702$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Aurora | 37c | 1,702$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,700$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,700$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,689$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.97 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 43c | 1,651$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.11 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Aurora | 39c | 1,600$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.68 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 40c | 1,581$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.98 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,510$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Aurora | 40c | 1,510$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,500$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.57 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…7d11backed Aurora | 21c | 1,500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,493$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.22 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,460$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 40c | 1,416$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 43c | 1,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,356$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Aurora | 30c | 1,352$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora | 3c | 1,343$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,300$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Aurora | 42c | 1,283$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.