TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$644,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$723,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid38c196,201$75,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,3001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Team Falcons50c75,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,5003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons75c39,454$29,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,863.4322644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid50c36,665$18,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,280.0333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Liquid51c35,362$18,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,135.4917948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons74c30,011$22,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.9112560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons52c29,436$15,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,180.8127645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Falcons48c18,606$8,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,675.16051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons50c13,962$6,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,981.3610540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons49c12,374$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,267.2636041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons51c9,932$5,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,889.394751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0a…1a3ebacked Team Falcons75c9,053$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50011547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons56c8,476$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.2132951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f8…abfebacked Team Liquid44c7,954$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.7412049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons61c7,594$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.5217452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid47c6,959$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.6845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons57c6,881$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.693546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Team Falcons63c6,166$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.766139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked Team Liquid49c5,771$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Liquid25c5,267$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.696725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Team Liquid50c5,241$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Falcons77c5,073$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.3325150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid50c5,000$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47512630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Team Liquid42c4,800$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.942958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons51c4,637$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.857255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons54c4,555$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.4335062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons51c4,548$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.0426843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons49c4,414$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.1964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons50c3,964$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.0119148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons54c3,784$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.2159254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons67c3,650$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19853758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons50c3,571$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.233560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.839754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Liquid46c3,345$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5522142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid22c3,327$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.6371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e9…71f6backed Team Falcons52c3,316$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons58c3,137$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.7113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid31c3,079$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.1945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Team Falcons59c2,935$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.441060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid49c2,812$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.17060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Falcons52c2,675$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.093938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Team Falcons52c2,544$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.936541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Team Falcons60c2,455$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.084753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons52c2,371$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.089736.1%35 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid43c2,278$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.518550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Liquid50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1111729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Team Falcons49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1222050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid49c2,122$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.0162650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.0356852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons59c1,877$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.4464149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid34c1,837$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.691,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Team Falcons57c1,794$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5722450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Team Falcons76c1,738$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.882650%13 W · 13 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5812…7d11backed Team Falcons50c1,727$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Team Falcons77c1,708$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.218469%58 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Team Liquid49c1,614$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.674845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid41c1,592$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.651,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Team Falcons51c1,548$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Team Falcons50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Team Falcons50c1,499$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.347349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons57c1,463$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6713442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Team Liquid50c1,441$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.556544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Liquid18c1,431$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3125639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid42c1,416$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.211,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Team Liquid48c1,401$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Team Falcons51c1,391$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Team Falcons50c1,366$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid42c1,333$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.331,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Liquid49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9827060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Team Falcons78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Team Falcons51c1,229$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.2410136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons62c1,198$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7952046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid41c1,148$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.091,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked Team Falcons53c1,133$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Liquid41c1,104$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.818328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Liquid50c1,060$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5307058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Falcons63c1,054$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1210766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Team Falcons51c1,030$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Liquid49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2914562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Team Falcons51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.119643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f4e…70cebacked Team Liquid1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Team Falcons75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons50c997.84$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.929555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid51c967.02$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1830357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons52c958.65$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1522363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons51c956.86$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8622340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.