TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62f8…abfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,520
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$276.58
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$59
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.23
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$297.49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,250
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,267.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$182.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$76.49
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$66.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.77
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.75
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66.94
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.88
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$75.91
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$92.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.41
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Otakar Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+114%+$248.35
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.