Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cad34bc1dec09fc44005a9214eced3c43aa73112682416b0b2c6ac4cec588c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 49c | 2,154$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.46 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 1,908$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.13 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 47c | 772.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 49c | 535$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 401.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 53c | 340.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Under | 53c | 315.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 309.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 29c | 231.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 52c | 202.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Under | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 185.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 48c | 136.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 53c | 89.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 14c | 80.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 80c | 74.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…0fedbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 48c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 67c | 39.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2BNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.