TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6fb…67b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.51
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.64
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$12.3
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+218%+$30.85
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$10.8
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$6.35
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$15.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.