Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2938fc63efe8a8bd2255e1974e0e80106247d74fe50a1b42f756db2a46882ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 54c | 11,857$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.03 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 10,508$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.67 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 9,895$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 8,341$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.45 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 12c | 8,182$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 5,800$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.01 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 46c | 5,666$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.61 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked 1win | 51c | 5,266$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.01 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 48c | 5,235$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.35 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 4,882$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.76 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 4,704$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.05 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 3,901$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.84 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 57c | 3,226$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.49 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 2,179$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 1win | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 19c | 1,887$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.08 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,827$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.83 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,756$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed 1win | 46c | 1,622$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 47c | 1,509$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.32 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked 1win | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed 1win | 52c | 1,341$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,262$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.42 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 63c | 1,065$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.85 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 1win | 20c | 1,026$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 23c | 1,011$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 20c | 1,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 985$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 49c | 900.26$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 1win | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 893.14$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked 1win | 49c | 798.24$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 65c | 794.21$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.23 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 39c | 759.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 54c | 720.61$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.69 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 720.43$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 669.45$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 1win | 46c | 658.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 51c | 618.76$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.94 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 591.84$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 19c | 565.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 560$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 559$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 45c | 551.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed 1win | 66c | 524$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.42 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…1fe0backed 1win | 55c | 520$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 37c | 518.57$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 509$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.87 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed 1win | 25c | 479.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 469.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 461.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 46c | 412.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 404.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 51c | 400$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked 1win | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked 1win | 60c | 379.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 356.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked 1win | 66c | 350.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked 1win | 10c | 350.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…ba37backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 350$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed 1win | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 341.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked 1win | 32c | 334.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 325.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 313.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked 1win | 63c | 310$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 295$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed 1win | 32c | 292$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 291$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed 1win | 55c | 287.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 266.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 251.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 245.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 39c | 236.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 229.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked 1win | 40c | 223.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 42c | 218$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 45c | 201.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 201.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 34c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed 1win | 49c | 199.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked 1win | 67c | 197.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…d1b2backed 1win | 51c | 194.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 193.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 180.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 56c | 174.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 174.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 1win | 53c | 171.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 170.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 167.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 36c | 166.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.