Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c0ddae8744d25eca73c877309e5dc31db61beeb5593c35a65a48a0d0036761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 9,910$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.6 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 9,806$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 7,388$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.81 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 46c | 6,650$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.15 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 6,614$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.76 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 5,372$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.61 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 52c | 5,155$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.91 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 46c | 5,132$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.34 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 44c | 4,399$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.31 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed 1win | 73c | 3,496$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.81 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 2,969$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.55 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 37c | 2,749$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.78 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 2,702$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.79 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 1win | 46c | 2,621$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.18 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 48c | 2,384$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.43 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 67c | 2,300$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.14 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed 1win | 22c | 2,155$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.83 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 34c | 2,021$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.39 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked 1win | 18c | 1,816$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 40c | 1,718$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.28 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed 1win | 52c | 1,536$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 48c | 1,451$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 1,243$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.73 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 48c | 1,229$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,149$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.46 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,124$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.65 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 63c | 1,104$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.92 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 1,073$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.54 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 46c | 1,041$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.43 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 1win | 43c | 941.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 48c | 936.33$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 905$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.29 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1win | 20c | 902.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 878.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.33 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 849.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.39 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 800$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.91 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 19c | 790.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 718.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 651.03$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked 1win | 66c | 608.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 589.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 27c | 571.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 554.13$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.58 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 48c | 538.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed 1win | 50c | 518.54$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 50c | 482.35$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 49c | 451.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 437.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win | 70c | 434.93$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…0457backed 1win | 46c | 432.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 418.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 53c | 408.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 391.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 391.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 48c | 353$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 335.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 330$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 329.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked 1win | 70c | 318.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win | 49c | 302.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked 1win | 80c | 299.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 1win | 50c | 289.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 280.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked 1win | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 50c | 251.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 241.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 213.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 202$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 201.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed 1win | 74c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 197.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 194.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed 1win | 68c | 193.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed 1win | 48c | 189.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 50c | 181.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked 1win | 47c | 180.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 49c | 178.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 162.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 162.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed 1win | 45c | 160.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed 1win | 53c | 157.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed 1win | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 153.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 148.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 145.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed 1win | 56c | 141.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked 1win | 51c | 140.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.