Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215c3a894d075fcd8e40eaccce4a3eb7481d643625c2778d33bbba9381da3997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 51c | 58,425$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 17,936$10,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,877.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 17,168$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 42c | 11,979$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.65 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 46c | 10,366$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.45 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 9,889$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 9,554$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.97 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 4,180$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.68 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed 1win | 50c | 4,080$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,900$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 1,832$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,731$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.69 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 54c | 1,680$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.77 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed 1win | 48c | 1,578$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked 1win | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.72 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,177$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.55 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 47c | 1,163$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked 1win | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 939.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.43 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked 1win | 61c | 908.31$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 48c | 891.35$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.85 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 872.47$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.87 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 1win | 48c | 811.32$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…dfe9backed 1win | 53c | 761.89$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 48c | 739.17$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 720$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.33 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 677.32$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 676.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.26 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 1win | 48c | 674$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 668.64$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed 1win | 30c | 640$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 44c | 615.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed 1win | 26c | 604.76$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 42c | 593.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 1win | 45c | 589.48$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…e748backed 1win | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…a898backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 1win | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 496.21$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 471.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 453.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked 1win | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…b6cbbacked 1win | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 1win | 51c | 377.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 1win | 22c | 366.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 1win | 38c | 356.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed 1win | 50c | 356.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 351$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 350$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked 1win | 48c | 340.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 324$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 39c | 320$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 53c | 319.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 50c | 311.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed 1win | 57c | 301.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked 1win | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…56a7backed 1win | 46c | 295.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 294.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 293.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed 1win | 49c | 292.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed 1win | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 283.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 1win | 48c | 281.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win | 36c | 281$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 256.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 50c | 250.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 57c | 242.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed 1win | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 239.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 223.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 219.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked 1win | 53c | 217.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…57adbacked 1win | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 209.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed 1win | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 1win | 46c | 205$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed 1win | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…e057backed 1win | 50c | 195.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed 1win | 53c | 193.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win | 49c | 192.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked 1win | 47c | 183$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 38c | 180.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed 1win | 52c | 167$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 164.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed 1win | 49c | 164.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed 1win | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked 1win | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 1win | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 1win | 48c | 156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.