TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9095…b6cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST6045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.56
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+174.6%+$228.26
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$173.6
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.83
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$68.15
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$77.22
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$95.55
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$137.54
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$149.64
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$125.96
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132.02
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$247.8
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100.6%+$491.4
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$143.5
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$266.6
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$67.71
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$221.4
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.6
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$220.5
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110.4
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$172.8
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$210.54
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$254.8
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$148.5
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$123
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$127.99
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.23
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$225
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.48
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.22
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.13
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+98%+$297
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$39.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$143.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+307%+$285.12
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.59
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.47
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.97
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$208
Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked home · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.99
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Cbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Counter-Strike: NNP vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Bbacked NNP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$226.17
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs SkinRave (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked SkinRave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$155.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$235.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.48
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$311.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$288.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+491.9%+$421.34
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+525%+$294
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$40.27
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$114
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$241.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$208.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$390.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.3%+$565
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$355.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.