TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof OG, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,857 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team57c14,457$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked OG44c10,481$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.910641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG41c7,793$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.0389440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked OG45c4,236$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90022842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed OG41c3,900$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.995747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed OG44c3,188$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.336647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked OG43c2,850$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.494443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed BetBoom Team56c2,812$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.199555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d09…be9ebacked OG43c2,600$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117f…bb40backed BetBoom Team57c2,600$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed BetBoom Team58c2,585$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.56145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed OG46c2,214$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked BetBoom Team56c2,018$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.986043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team57c1,977$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.192,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed BetBoom Team56c1,940$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.7113346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BetBoom Team59c1,883$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.0525549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked BetBoom Team73c1,828$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.619145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG42c1,650$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed OG17c1,312$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7623746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed OG35c1,060$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.434932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked OG19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebb…00febacked BetBoom Team57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302572%18 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed OG39c972.08$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5571342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed OG44c851.37$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3722040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team75c850.64$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.52,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed BetBoom Team62c805.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.657342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed BetBoom Team58c793.1$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2fc…122ebacked OG44c767$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed BetBoom Team57c762.63$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9311253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b36…7ea7backed OG44c730$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team57c701.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…b1b6backed OG45c660$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe228…b442backed OG44c640$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BetBoom Team60c640$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed BetBoom Team59c625.41$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.542259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed OG40c622.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4445046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG33c579$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.11,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed BetBoom Team58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2416641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed BetBoom Team58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.249946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x174a…6f03backed BetBoom Team56c510$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed OG40c501.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed BetBoom Team58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa539…9279backed OG37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team68c497.74$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2246649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed BetBoom Team55c449.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.517146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed BetBoom Team57c440.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.395850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed OG35c400.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.423050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked OG8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick11cpaid+198.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team57c398.38$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.441,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8de…4921backed BetBoom Team56c378$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+70.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47b…5a9ebacked BetBoom Team56c372$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team51c371.63$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…64f8backed BetBoom Team55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e06…95d1backed BetBoom Team58c350.27$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd57…f084backed OG37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed BetBoom Team58c347.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6214849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…4b45backed BetBoom Team56c340$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BetBoom Team57c320.72$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9111947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked BetBoom Team59c307.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1910966.1%72 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3c…0f07backed BetBoom Team56c301$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…61dabacked BetBoom Team55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked OG14c290.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked BetBoom Team55c290.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.894654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BetBoom Team55c287.32$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9660542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed BetBoom Team55c271.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.032669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed OG40c247.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008161.7%50 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed BetBoom Team61c245.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.848661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dad…4e35backed OG40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed BetBoom Team56c225$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9918954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed OG44c224.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8de…a500backed BetBoom Team56c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed OG28c216.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.659122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed OG24c215$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.595735.1%20 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed BetBoom Team58c209.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BetBoom Team77c208$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6130138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66f0…923bbacked OG8c206.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed BetBoom Team55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed BetBoom Team56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG20c197.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5414121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed BetBoom Team58c197.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.967261.1%44 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed OG43c189.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.682133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed OG17c176.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.419544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3d…a928backed OG44c176$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ab…6c11backed OG44c173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06c…c231backed BetBoom Team60c166$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked BetBoom Team56c164.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed BetBoom Team61c163.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.674045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BetBoom Team65c156.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8491356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fc…2065backed OG44c151$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked BetBoom Team74c149.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a27…d8b3backed OG44c146$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked OG44c141.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3217133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team60c141.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.521,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed OG40c138$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5523957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed OG29c136.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2113455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team58c124.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb4…3c90backed OG44c121.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked OG43c117.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BetBoom Team56c115$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.615250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked OG45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.