TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof OG, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c29…afadbacked OG45c38,186$17,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,147.856150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG30c13,906$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.622,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team55c11,111$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd72…8dd1backed BetBoom Team55c8,486$4,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BetBoom Team56c7,028$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.1733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team57c6,640$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.0954556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked OG18c6,263$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.0313020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked BetBoom Team63c6,111$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.2220159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed OG44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG45c4,954$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.1417444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked OG43c4,915$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.2736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed BetBoom Team58c4,250$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.759557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked BetBoom Team55c4,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78022954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team57c3,958$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.6411854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BetBoom Team62c3,508$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.8526550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG21c3,298$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed BetBoom Team77c2,458$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3518661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed OG41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6154932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed OG33c1,097$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.396145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed OG42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed BetBoom Team55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG43c979.86$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.461,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked BetBoom Team63c961.03$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0314657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked OG41c943.83$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.846043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed OG36c851.75$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.974932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked BetBoom Team55c813.3$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.319440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team69c801.16$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.052,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed OG26c790.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.68957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed OG34c754.47$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.224440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed OG38c743.19$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.827342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed OG20c737.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7313455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked OG3c718.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.184037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team77c714$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed BetBoom Team60c670.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8424045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team64c660.35$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7f…3006backed OG22c582.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851e…d153backed BetBoom Team53c560.59$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed BetBoom Team63c529.73$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2219162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed BetBoom Team57c509$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0528549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed BetBoom Team59c471.21$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2110141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed BetBoom Team55c463$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.356650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked OG10c453.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3264123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG44c446.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5829548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed BetBoom Team71c432.6$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.214744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed OG41c417.44$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3974549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed BetBoom Team80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed OG44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team64c391.56$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.961,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed OG19c387.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.566349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG32c369.76$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.761,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…5664backed BetBoom Team55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team59c348.45$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed BetBoom Team60c335.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8511757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team76c313.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13561548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG11c290.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5537811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665c…a7f6backed BetBoom Team58c284$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…f86fbacked OG42c270$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992d…3fe7backed OG42c261$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d6…4c63backed OG47c247.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cd…87a9backed BetBoom Team58c247$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4a…cf21backed OG47c236.25$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked OG43c224.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.914252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked BetBoom Team57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BetBoom Team69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8888166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked OG17c195.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.713033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team65c193.65$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0636343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.911,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed BetBoom Team57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411239.3%44 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed BetBoom Team59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4928244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed OG40c167.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.350757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked OG20c139.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412832%41 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BetBoom Team67c126.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.836851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked BetBoom Team78c112.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2120452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed BetBoom Team55c109.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2786451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team55c109.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed OG46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed OG36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked OG44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4470236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked OG44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4473554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed OG20c99.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed OG29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed OG40c89.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG46c87.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.421,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team75c86.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4946872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed OG45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2511841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed OG19c84.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6ef0…252cbacked BetBoom Team60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1e…8107backed OG47c77.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team55c69.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.463032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed BetBoom Team59c67.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8160660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2042…1c4fbacked BetBoom Team60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ff…82cfbacked BetBoom Team75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13aa…88d6backed BetBoom Team56c60.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4718769%129 W · 58 L+20.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked BetBoom Team67c60.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1213246.2%61 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d2…83b3backed BetBoom Team54c59.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4911563.5%73 W · 42 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.