TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ef0…252c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+232.8%+$69.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.47
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
All 7 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$235.83
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+26.4%+$75.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$305.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.