TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,100 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e38…de0fbacked FOKUS30c6,320$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.6415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed 100 Thieves71c4,220$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.4612649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed FOKUS23c3,611$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.336858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS26c3,000$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.941,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves73c2,921$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.967,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves69c2,801$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.7684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abb…af99backed FOKUS35c2,689$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80a7…b3a9backed 100 Thieves65c2,689$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked 100 Thieves64c2,617$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.2127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FOKUS7c2,052$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7bd…b013backed FOKUS26c1,937$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS23c1,891$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.026,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked FOKUS19c1,564$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS27c1,298$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.124,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…fffbbacked FOKUS19c1,154$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.21010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS35c1,148$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.71,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 100 Thieves75c1,003$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FOKUS28c983.43$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.281,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FOKUS21c920.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.593,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked FOKUS36c900$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed FOKUS11c824.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.345034%17 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed FOKUS9c820.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.094755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed 100 Thieves68c773.91$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.966836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef0…252cbacked FOKUS11c769.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked FOKUS12c666$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9214853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed FOKUS31c627.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6315141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed FOKUS32c591.39$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2246243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed FOKUS32c498$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3639851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed 100 Thieves68c441.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8717644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52fe…41f0backed FOKUS16c440.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed 100 Thieves69c437$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9346344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed FOKUS30c430$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FOKUS24c423.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10096543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed FOKUS32c406.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOKUS29c399.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 100 Thieves69c381$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 100 Thieves69c379$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0332930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS22c365.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.485,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves74c342.34$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.14,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FOKUS38c330.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1716152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed 100 Thieves70c300$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9129647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed FOKUS31c299.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5754032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed FOKUS32c290.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed FOKUS21c287.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4743442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed 100 Thieves70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7152456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FOKUS18c279.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b0…b9ccbacked FOKUS5c273.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.631421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked 100 Thieves69c262$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4149745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6f…d5d8backed 100 Thieves66c243$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked 100 Thieves68c241$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4954346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked 100 Thieves71c235.66$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves67c220$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.155,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed 100 Thieves65c217.4$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0918943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed FOKUS24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed 100 Thieves70c204$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.233048.8%161 W · 169 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…35fdbacked 100 Thieves66c203$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed FOKUS7c199.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2332…65bfbacked 100 Thieves66c193$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed FOKUS23c180.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4244743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves73c172.17$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed FOKUS37c164$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9212941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked FOKUS30c163.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves69c163$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3748948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed 100 Thieves69c163$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked FOKUS25c163$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5845956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed 100 Thieves69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4211365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed FOKUS32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…19f5backed 100 Thieves64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af7…6fa6backed FOKUS24c155$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2590%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b3…47b9backed 100 Thieves68c147.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.214757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e7…a447backed 100 Thieves70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked 100 Thieves72c138.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.948844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…3203backed 100 Thieves69c130.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed FOKUS33c129.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.76237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked FOKUS10c128.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfca6…f62ebacked FOKUS34c128$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…1e97backed FOKUS34c128$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd3…f330backed FOKUS34c126$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed 100 Thieves70c125.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7173658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked FOKUS31c115.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.768447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed 100 Thieves70c115.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.694753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8423…1b3bbacked FOKUS34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked FOKUS18c106.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…ae36backed 100 Thieves77c101.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed FOKUS22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.481,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked 100 Thieves66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3567…8785backed 100 Thieves79c99.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOKUS30c98.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.041,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a5…5303backed 100 Thieves77c96.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.223557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed 100 Thieves67c92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03db…e62fbacked 100 Thieves67c90.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.34250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed FOKUS31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed FOKUS23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.739237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed 100 Thieves69c87.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0612273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x652a…7290backed FOKUS34c81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9704…9d43backed FOKUS33c78.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf79…850bbacked FOKUS18c76.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.725240.4%21 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1d…fc19backed 100 Thieves66c75.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8215561.3%95 W · 60 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed FOKUS33c74.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4710529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f2…ffc1backed FOKUS18c71.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.