TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72b0…b9cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$97.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$173.22
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$52.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.56
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: M80 vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$52.77
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.13
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65.28
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$31.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$81.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+161.4%+$17.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kigali 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Corentin Denollybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.