CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4baeb6cdd6491ac3b944cfd887c6933b9022d1b4b1983f62b2a11f2744cc15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,815 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Novaq | 49c | 4,991$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Metizport | 46c | 2,870$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.23 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Metizport | 50c | 2,537$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.17 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Metizport | 55c | 1,615$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.86 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Metizport | 49c | 1,100$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.55 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Metizport | 56c | 400$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Novaq | 59c | 319.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Novaq | 48c | 303.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 56c | 280.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Metizport | 35c | 213$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…b9ccbacked Team Novaq | 47c | 212.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Team Novaq | 48c | 167.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Metizport | 53c | 159.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Metizport | 66c | 123$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport | 65c | 113.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Novaq | 53c | 97.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 48c | 90.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed Metizport | 53c | 81.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed Team Novaq | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Metizport | 62c | 49.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Team Novaq | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Metizport | 40c | 40.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Metizport | 40c | 40.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Metizport | 47c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 34.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Novaq | 34c | 34.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Team Novaq | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Metizport | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Metizport | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Team Novaq | 44c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Team Novaq | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.