CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc88ab814077795cbc67647225d7e239fbc96b01425a37181eb5ad42d061816b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Betclic Apogee Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,426 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked FOKUS | 64c | 3,489$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.75 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS | 67c | 3,414$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 66c | 3,199$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.66 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 3,136$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked FOKUS | 34c | 3,090$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.54 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 2,014$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 49c | 1,214$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…418fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…9126backed FOKUS | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 881.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 754.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FOKUS | 66c | 688.18$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.19 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 604.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 50c | 571.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed FOKUS | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 480$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed FOKUS | 64c | 460$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 460$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 430$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS | 67c | 375$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 348.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…80e9backed FOKUS | 66c | 301$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 35c | 291.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1c…37f8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 286$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…b96bbacked FOKUS | 66c | 280$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…91a2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 274$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed FOKUS | 65c | 268$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…b29fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 254.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOKUS | 43c | 205.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…fa04backed FOKUS | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…5c48backed FOKUS | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…9558backed FOKUS | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 198.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…a6b0backed FOKUS | 67c | 182$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 50c | 179.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…e1c0backed FOKUS | 66c | 175$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…3834backed FOKUS | 65c | 167.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…54efbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 163$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…f5bbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 153$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…f5f7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 152$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FOKUS | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked FOKUS | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…8abfbacked FOKUS | 66c | 137$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…b9ccbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 133.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed FOKUS | 34c | 124.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 75c | 121.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FOKUS | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOKUS | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FOKUS | 35c | 92.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed FOKUS | 58c | 69.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…6719backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FOKUS | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked FOKUS | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FOKUS | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…3373backed FOKUS | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked FOKUS | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 54.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 61c | 33.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5615backed FOKUS | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…0af3backed FOKUS | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked FOKUS | 61c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…c470backed FOKUS | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FOKUS | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FOKUS | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed FOKUS | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed FOKUS | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked FOKUS | 62c | 16.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.