TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda60…9126

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$580.13
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.57
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.76
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$427
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$610
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+426.3%+$405
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42.84
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.7
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$17.54
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.37
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.7
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$24.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.44
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.