TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Berrettiniof Berrettini, Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Norrie52c200,000$103,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,990.097857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Berrettini48c166,204$79,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,426.0310845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Berrettini54c11,195$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.928,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Berrettini59c9,886$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Berrettini57c6,133$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Berrettini49c5,783$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.9565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Berrettini51c4,381$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Berrettini80c3,751$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7121147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Norrie42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2607147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Norrie42c2,892$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.722,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Berrettini56c2,650$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Norrie40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Norrie43c2,346$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Berrettini55c2,287$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.936033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Berrettini31c2,239$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.2318933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Norrie46c2,197$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Norrie32c2,177$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.0815832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Berrettini62c2,131$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.081752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Norrie39c1,888$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Norrie41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Berrettini60c1,559$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.789452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Berrettini56c1,526$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.6537450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Norrie44c1,350$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59413935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…26b6backed Norrie52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Berrettini78c1,250$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27513253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Norrie21c976.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.627335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Berrettini59c849.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.593852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Berrettini61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.678243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Berrettini55c817.09$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.692147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Norrie42c798.4$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.335133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…8230backed Norrie46c782.2$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Norrie40c700$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28318943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie44c647.24$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.472,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0a…e7aabacked Berrettini70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Norrie42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie59c563$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.471,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Berrettini73c541.01$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.032,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7710…84a0backed Norrie45c518.13$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Norrie58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Berrettini59c500.27$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.441338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Norrie20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Berrettini66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Berrettini51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Berrettini76c432.54$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1026…9450backed Norrie58c429.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d89…340cbacked Berrettini51c421.45$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Norrie73c411.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Berrettini55c406.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Norrie50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Berrettini55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…6b69backed Norrie56c397.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Berrettini56c396.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.024163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Berrettini64c368.23$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Berrettini55c366.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.616145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Norrie45c355.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Berrettini48c355.35$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Norrie51c343.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.24122%9 W · 32 L-11.1wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Berrettini62c336.9$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Norrie42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Berrettini53c312.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.913452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Berrettini48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.522744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32a2…be70backed Berrettini70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Berrettini46c275$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.55632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Norrie26c259.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Berrettini66c251.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.764852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Norrie51c235.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Berrettini49c230.08$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3410251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Berrettini45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2273147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Norrie9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Berrettini55c220.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3120431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Berrettini71c217.55$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.061,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Berrettini47c213.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.542365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ab…0d0dbacked Berrettini60c212.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Berrettini60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Berrettini65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Norrie51c199$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.492528%7 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Berrettini50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9912147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Norrie51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Norrie44c194.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.891,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Berrettini54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6943948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Norrie48c189.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Norrie64c187.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.871857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Berrettini66c186.68$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.683253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Berrettini54c183.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.279462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Berrettini65c179.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.44461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Berrettini60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Berrettini48c175$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9123852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb33…532cbacked Norrie27c160.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Norrie44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a85…72bebacked Berrettini77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Berrettini64c156.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.751,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Norrie68c152.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.937957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Norrie54c150.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.482227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Berrettini56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0169…0096backed Norrie45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Norrie72c139.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82ef…7b8abacked Norrie33c130.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Berrettini77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Norrie42c119.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Norrie43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.