TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8ee…efe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 60 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$33.62
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.91
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liubacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+45%+$71.93
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Sofia Keninbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$387.93
Pan Pacific Open: Linda Noskova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.98
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.64
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$39.4
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$27.82
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$123.33
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$25.76
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Caty McNallybacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+147.8%+$206.94
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$147.9
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$24.41
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$180.53
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+125.8%+$193.2
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$28.94
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$16.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$752.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$216.98
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$46.98
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+750.7%+$150.13
Will Watford FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$18.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$15.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will NK Celje win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$55.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick36cpaid+134.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+99.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+89.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.3%+$24.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.