Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f4d85f7396748944fe65e0d82818fbae0c0be716fb784c96974c9c415242d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liof Sun, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Sun | 32c | 5,500$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li | 56c | 4,990$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Li | 77c | 2,574$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Li | 45c | 2,491$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sun | 50c | 2,317$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.28 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Sun | 51c | 1,392$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sun | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Li | 50c | 959.88$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.88 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sun | 27c | 511.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Li | 47c | 490.04$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Li | 50c | 401.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Li | 52c | 388.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Sun | 52c | 343.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Sun | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sun | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Li | 50c | 318.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sun | 53c | 310.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Li | 68c | 302.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Sun | 63c | 295.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Li | 44c | 272.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Sun | 49c | 264$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Li | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Sun | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sun | 46c | 217.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Sun | 27c | 215.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Li | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Sun | 55c | 210.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Sun | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Li | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Sun | 28c | 202.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Li | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Sun | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Sun | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Li | 72c | 148.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Li | 48c | 143$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Li | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Li | 76c | 116.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Sun | 53c | 113.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Li | 49c | 109.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Sun | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Li | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Li | 50c | 99.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Li | 52c | 92.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Li | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Sun | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…5910backed Li | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sun | 53c | 87.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Li | 47c | 80.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Li | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Li | 58c | 79.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Li | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Sun | 59c | 72.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Sun | 49c | 66.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Sun | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Sun | 22c | 52.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Sun | 26c | 51.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…570bbacked Sun | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Sun | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sun | 50c | 44.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Sun | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Li | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Li | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Sun | 38c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Li | 78c | 36.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sun | 29c | 35.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Sun | 40c | 34.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…cab9backed Sun | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…887fbacked Li | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…9043backed Sun | 45c | 24.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Li | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Li | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Li | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…bd33backed Sun | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.