TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x288e…9ca7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.47
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$40.5
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Ann Libacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
French Open: Boisson vs. Gauff backed Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.74
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.14
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$2,551.83
French Open: Paul vs. Alcaraz backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.36
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$544.15
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+27%+$199.58
French Open: Sinner vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Novak Djokovic reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+43%+$172.66
French Open: Zverev vs. Griekspoor backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$330.85
Will Lorenzo Musetti reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$89.6
Will Frances Tiafoe reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$53.6
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$60.93
Will Tommy Paul reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$42.86
French Open: Korda vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+104.4%+$148.1
French Open: Khachanov vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+87.8%+$115
French Open: Musetti vs. Navonebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+69%+$53.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$129.37
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$357.04
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.64
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.59
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+221.4%+$3,967.6
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.63
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$411
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$832.49
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+130.3%+$9,636.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.64
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.22
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$69.5
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.95
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+170.8%+$354.28
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.9
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.17
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$113.5
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$76.72
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.19
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.96
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$301.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$196.05
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+88%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+275.9%+$165.05
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.55
Will Fiorentina vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$33.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.