Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Musetti vs. Navone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c724096faafc7714d909a20d78b69d5a70114a94e8ea78bdef276cf239732f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Navone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Navone | 28c | 5,871$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.04 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Musetti | 73c | 2,339$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.79 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Navone | 47c | 2,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Musetti | 69c | 1,779$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Navone | 10c | 1,712$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Navone | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.19 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Musetti | 74c | 984.57$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Navone | 10c | 929.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Navone | 13c | 800.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Navone | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Navone | 26c | 768.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Musetti | 72c | 698.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Musetti | 70c | 414.08$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Navone | 24c | 384.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Musetti | 80c | 379.61$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Musetti | 79c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Musetti | 77c | 248.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Navone | 14c | 215.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Navone | 33c | 192.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Musetti | 67c | 191.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Navone | 27c | 162.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Musetti | 59c | 131$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Musetti | 59c | 129.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navone | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Navone | 24c | 82.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…bbbcbacked Musetti | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.