TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No63c10,610$6,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.533,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No64c8,884$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.372552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes36c6,528$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes36c4,260$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.6814042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes27c4,238$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.258755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes38c3,955$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c3,279$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.732,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1103748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes37c2,667$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No61c2,572$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.4112269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes38c2,029$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed No65c1,235$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No62c1,087$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.855763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes38c1,049$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.12740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes6c972.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.354551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes36c925$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No76c776.38$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.338345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No64c688.74$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0715151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes37c680$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes39c558.21$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f37…0b78backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes37c532.78$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.451844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes39c520$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2f…e6d7backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3791…158fbacked Yes36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes37c449.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.33259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Yes36c421.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c409.24$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4210452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No64c391.44$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.929145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c326.15$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.156753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No63c233.95$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.567051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes16c199$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0820042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes36c183.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes38c150.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.554959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes35c145$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.757145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes18c140.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes37c97.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+50.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes23c85.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes37c73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ab…ab0dbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b64…357fbacked Yes36c66.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes41c61.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1561…9764backed Yes36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6c…1650backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ee…e354backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d0…03c1backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a19…6f9cbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes37c50.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.819736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0b…b072backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.755253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b5…2ebbbacked No64c42.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8567…62ecbacked No64c40.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc6…1327backed No64c35.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…cf87backed Yes37c35.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x825a…ece6backed Yes37c35.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…afa6backed Yes37c32.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…e242backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x851d…1f74backed Yes36c28.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b28…0d9abacked No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2823757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No63c22.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.239652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf95b…1692backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8c…8366backed No65c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.512868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.