TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf95b…1692

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT7552%39 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.9
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$17.2
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$3.67
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Man City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.88
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
RB Salzburg vs. Real Madrid: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Inter Milan vs. River Plate: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.24
Urawa vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Mamelodi vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+327.4%+$45.96
Will Elon tweet between 1000 and 1049 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will Elon tweet between 850 and 899 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 390–419 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.82
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$33
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$65.52
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+183.1%+$61.45
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+267.6%+$36.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
League of Legends: FURIA vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$8.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Poland beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Croatia beat Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$31.8
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$30.96
Will Germany beat France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Austria beat Romania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Serbia beat Albania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Lithuania beat Malta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Malta beat Lithuania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will LA Galaxy beat Austin FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.4%+$177.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.