Champions League · resolved market
Mamelodi vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099cc6ac7f1d4165ba37596f28248f1e0d0a9f53816f41f0cece0e782bb725a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 3,943$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.28 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 45c | 3,010$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…8c08backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…5e81backed No | 47c | 590$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…2583backed No | 49c | 590$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 58c | 574.79$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 42c | 555$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 531.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 49c | 515.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 54c | 446.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fe6cbacked No | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…38bfbacked No | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…e6efbacked No | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 45c | 354.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 45c | 327.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 46c | 242.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 42c | 232.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 194.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 59c | 129.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 53c | 66.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…95abbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…f98cbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.