TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7e6…67b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+226.3%+$27.16
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.87
Will Fabián Ruiz be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.83
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.54
Will Cole Palmer score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+312.3%+$40.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.99
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.99
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$49.12
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.38
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
BLAST Open: Imperial vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+172.1%+$37.42
Will Aurora win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$27.63
Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.1
Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
EWC Cs2: 3DMAX vs. The MongolZbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.17
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
EWC Cs2: TYLOO vs. Astralisbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$45.36
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. The MongolZbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.38
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. FaZebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.48
IEM Cologne: Aurora vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.12
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. 3DMAXbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.07
IEM Cologne: Virtus.pro vs. HEROICbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
IEM Cologne: FlyQuest vs. Liquidbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
IEM Cologne: BIG vs. PaiNbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$21.88
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+286.4%+$114.56
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$28.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.71
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+91.6%+$83.26
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick17cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+1,447.7%+$290.55
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US military action on Yemen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Trump say Regime Change during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say Make America Great Again during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+191.8%+$63.29
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.66
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.42
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$31.75
Will Real Sociedad vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$29.75
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.56
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.52
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$51.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+219.3%+$153.54
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Everton vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Union Berlin vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: FlyQuest vs. Legacybacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.