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CS2 · resolved market

EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAX

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof Natus Vincere, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ce8…4527backed 3DMAX27c7,637$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Natus Vincere73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6504360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere72c4,502$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.7345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX26c4,000$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX33c2,590$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.4316357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere74c2,026$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.987046%400 W · 470 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed 3DMAX27c1,839$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Natus Vincere67c1,499$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.964047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Natus Vincere1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024640.2%99 W · 147 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Natus Vincere77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed 3DMAX44c1,237$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.744864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere77c1,173$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.211,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Natus Vincere68c1,004$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68011164%71 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked 3DMAX30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+87.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed 3DMAX35c1,000$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.9618650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX21c885.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.255,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere74c866.23$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.011,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere72c820.17$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3281944.4%364 W · 455 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Natus Vincere36c758.18$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere26c728.74$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18870053.3%373 W · 327 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Natus Vincere72c643.54$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46224554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere46c597.83$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.213,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere17c582.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Natus Vincere68c557.25$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.938956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5f…3155backed Natus Vincere2c518.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked 3DMAX51c485$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.59938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Natus Vincere75c471.6$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.044348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceb8…9177backed Natus Vincere76c458.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Natus Vincere69c453$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6713235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere52c442.21$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9576150.7%386 W · 375 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed 3DMAX30c414.78$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.198645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked 3DMAX24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3048838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc17…2a53backed Natus Vincere77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Natus Vincere42c372.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 3DMAX23c365.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked Natus Vincere72c357.33$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere67c356.63$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9446340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Natus Vincere59c340.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed 3DMAX36c331.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5442638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Natus Vincere72c328.51$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.268055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed 3DMAX63c319.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6921251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Natus Vincere75c310$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.142149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked Natus Vincere80c303.51$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.312568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…93acbacked Natus Vincere68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Natus Vincere67c279.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.647055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere72c276.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked 3DMAX37c270.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.412524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed 3DMAX26c249.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4916335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere65c240.01$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1826351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed 3DMAX40c239$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.556253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere74c228.19$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8621846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0325941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere9c225$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2118724.1%45 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX23c221.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.911,14949.4%568 W · 581 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Natus Vincere71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14214142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6424…d631backed Natus Vincere75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere76c196.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.774158%430 W · 311 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed 3DMAX25c194$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.59247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed 3DMAX26c188$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked 3DMAX25c166.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8913043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Natus Vincere74c161.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.161957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere75c159.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11923454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad2…f7f0backed 3DMAX23c149.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed Natus Vincere78c132.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032075%15 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Natus Vincere76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed 3DMAX22c131.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.495530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed 3DMAX24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9512131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed 3DMAX12c117.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.081827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…8ad9backed Natus Vincere52c103.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 3DMAX25c100.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7531735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Natus Vincere75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Natus Vincere50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed 3DMAX25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed 3DMAX22c99.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9963445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Natus Vincere60c95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c6…9947backed Natus Vincere76c86.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb6…8d9ebacked Natus Vincere68c86.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…3be3backed Natus Vincere60c84.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.222055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Natus Vincere78c83.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…9908backed 3DMAX28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked 3DMAX36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0610261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8257…f579backed 3DMAX48c62.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed 3DMAX43c59.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.625149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked 3DMAX26c58.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.322450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed 3DMAX32c58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4416150.3%81 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8181…e8bfbacked Natus Vincere59c54.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5284…4e87backed Natus Vincere72c53.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.331070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed 3DMAX50c51.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.512365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Natus Vincere76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Natus Vincere75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.583346.2%385 W · 448 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Natus Vincere66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.228346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Natus Vincere76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa1…c02dbacked Natus Vincere78c38.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55da…839abacked Natus Vincere76c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Natus Vincere56c33.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.783542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4341…0a3fbacked Natus Vincere78c31.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.