TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd32a…504c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,382.37
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$749.62
CS: Aurora vs Liquidbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,566.59
CS: G2 vs The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+78.5%+$1,570.18
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$780.81
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$756.53
Valorant: PRX vs GXbacked PRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+56%+$294.65
CS: Astralis vs GamerLegionbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$1,396.28
CS: FaZe vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$796.89
CS: Virtus.pro vs Lynn Visionbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
FISSURE Playground 2: FURIA vs. Liquidbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$461.77
FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiNbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$333.4
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$532.54
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$331.89
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$374.09
EWC Cs2: TYLOO vs. Astralisbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$33.37
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.31
BLAST Bounty: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$947.18
BLAST Bounty: G2 vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$400.94
BLAST Bounty: Virtus.Pro vs. FaZebacked Virtus.Pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+126%+$1,101.6
BLAST Bounty: Astralis vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,086.63
BLAST Bounty: Complexity vs. HEROICbacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,548
BLAST Bounty: fnatic vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,496Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$1,295.85
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$573.85
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$185.97
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Team WEbacked FunPlus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$676.24
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. EDward Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.92
League of Legends: Gen.G Global Academy vs. BNK FearX Youthbacked Gen.G Global · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$945.31
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$718.85
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$945.23
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$438.63
League of Legends: DRX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$666.71
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked FunPlus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.74
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,791
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,542.06
Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$728.94
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,048Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$720.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$372.49
F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$51.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$616.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$898.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,648
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,459.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.