CS2 · resolved market
CS: Virtus.pro vs Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e674f99b41b756c8559928f74d7aa24bb6712b5bb0577cda29c588a92c4f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Lynn Vision | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,451$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.78 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,302$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.04 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 20c | 1,200$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,057$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.46 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 1,041$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.32 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 958$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.74 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 813.21$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 788.12$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 730.09$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Lynn Vision | 24c | 674$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 662$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 633.48$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 523.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lynn Vision | 64c | 428$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.92 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 419.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 5c | 391$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 385$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 317.49$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Lynn Vision | 53c | 285.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 257$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Lynn Vision | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 204.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 203.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lynn Vision | 51c | 189.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Lynn Vision | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…2cdbbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynn Vision | 51c | 149.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 129.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 118.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 109.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…b1d6backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 107.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 95.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynn Vision | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lynn Vision | 49c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Lynn Vision | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.