TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa52c…ef80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST8636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+87.2%+$157.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$158.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$67.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$215.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,492.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$519.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$416.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$634.28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.61
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+195.3%+$3,266.03
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.24
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs ECSTATIC (BO3)backed ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+137.1%+$677.72
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$722.04
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180.98
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$488.84
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,107.79
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,076.27
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$1,088.45
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$225
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.6
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.5
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.6
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$659.93
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$545.91
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.99
Spread: Padres (-1.5)backed Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$537.03
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$176.5
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Mariners (-1.5)backed Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.09
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.53
Spread: Padres (-1.5)backed Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$212
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.2
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,094.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+105.8%+$185.24
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.74
Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+143.7%+$1,376.54
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.91
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$417.04
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+102%+$505
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+131.8%+$545
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.53
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$335.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,088Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$909.07
Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.56
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+126.5%+$48.72
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Yue Yuanbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$590
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.04
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$556.2
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$345
Wuhan Tennis Open: Emma Navarro vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$390.41
Chengdu Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.19
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$247.19
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$66.5
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.98
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+226.7%+$1,855.17
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$240.63
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,369.56
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$596.54
Will MIBR win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.09
Valorant: Team Heretics vs GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045
Valorant: DRX vs G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,425.4
Valorant: Team Heretics vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,075.52
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBRbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,076.1
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$613.53
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$638.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State vs. Northern Illinoisbacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$801.31
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$180
Rice vs. Charlottebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+121%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$697.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$13.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$610.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.