CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd62fd1a0cd3d86999038e27d2c69a187ad3e6635c5d2a9ea0bf3b6c41746b4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 | 30c | 77,601$23,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,108.11 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Vitality | 70c | 47,036$32,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,112.85 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Vitality | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed G2 | 32c | 9,000$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vitality | 69c | 7,825$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 72c | 4,171$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.09 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 | 31c | 3,400$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.91 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Vitality | 74c | 2,813$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.84 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Vitality | 72c | 2,451$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.27 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,024$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed G2 | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed G2 | 30c | 1,392$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,266$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked G2 | 11c | 1,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 | 28c | 1,160$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Vitality | 71c | 1,140$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality | 69c | 1,064$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 19c | 1,029$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed G2 | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked G2 | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed G2 | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Vitality | 71c | 896.66$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Vitality | 72c | 840.93$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed G2 | 30c | 811.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed G2 | 5c | 776.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed G2 | 30c | 750.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 28c | 699.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Vitality | 78c | 693.13$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 71c | 678$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 30c | 600.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 72c | 527.9$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed G2 | 28c | 513.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed G2 | 29c | 510.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Vitality | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked G2 | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Vitality | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Vitality | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 8c | 429$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed G2 | 30c | 407.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Vitality | 75c | 374.19$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed G2 | 29c | 345.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed G2 | 29c | 300.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed G2 | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Vitality | 71c | 283.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed G2 | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality | 72c | 269$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked G2 | 30c | 248.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed G2 | 29c | 209.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed G2 | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Vitality | 72c | 168.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed G2 | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Vitality | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Vitality | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…2953backed Vitality | 72c | 139.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Vitality | 70c | 132.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…e6fbbacked G2 | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Vitality | 72c | 114.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…ab06backed G2 | 18c | 108.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked G2 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed G2 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed G2 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked G2 | 30c | 80.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed G2 | 30c | 80.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed G2 | 31c | 79.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed G2 | 31c | 79.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed G2 | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Vitality | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed G2 | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…e61abacked Vitality | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d5…1a90backed G2 | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Vitality | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed G2 | 30c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed G2 | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed G2 | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed Vitality | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Vitality | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…30a6backed Vitality | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Vitality | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.