TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b9f…d2b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST5255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.75
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+27.5%+$37.06
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$9.18
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.9
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.15
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Jointbacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+71.9%+$29.28
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+150%+$18
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.96
Guangzhou Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Yafan Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Ningbo Open: Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Japan Women's Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Ningbo Open: Veronika Kudermetova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Ningbo Open: McCartney Kessler vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Japan Women's Open: Elise Mertens vs Tereza Valentovabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST3847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58.3
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$26.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$22.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$212.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$93.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+247.5%+$32.05
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Lynn Vision (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.28
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.76
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$17.49
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.41
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+344.4%+$46.5
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.2
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$85
NBA Finals Winner: Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$64.47
NBA Finals Game 1: Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$33.25
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+512.2%+$150.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$115.73
Netanyahu out by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$73.5
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+48.5%+$147.38
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$287.44
Israel military action against Iran in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$105.6
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+58.5%+$197.12
Iran military response by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$55
Iran military response today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+25%+$8
Will Iran President Raisi be found today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$170
New Iranian President by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$125
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Panthers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.05
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.95
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Ducks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$22.04
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.55
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Spread: Florida State (-6.5)backed Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Louisville (-2.5)backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida: O/U 67.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$10
California vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$119
O/U 60.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$17
O/U 58.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.64
Spread: Florida State (-10.5)backed Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spread: Tulane (-6.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
East Carolina vs. Tulane: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$829.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+44.9%+$152.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roaring Kitty livestream by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$166.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.