Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f359182a2a78ebc73854d8b2ca77910e5261df50c27f87ff03051484dee465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandrovaof Alexandrova, Cristian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cristian | 0c | 12,365$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Cristian | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Alexandrova | 74c | 1,888$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.8 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cristian | 7c | 1,605$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Cristian | 17c | 1,332$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cristian | 8c | 931.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Cristian | 25c | 696.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cristian | 4c | 365.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cristian | 6c | 341.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cristian | 11c | 315.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alexandrova | 73c | 290$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Alexandrova | 75c | 271.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cristian | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Alexandrova | 76c | 228.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cristian | 25c | 177.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Alexandrova | 75c | 133.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alexandrova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cristian | 25c | 115.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Alexandrova | 73c | 96.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Alexandrova | 75c | 86.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Alexandrova | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…df17backed Cristian | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Cristian | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Cristian | 26c | 45.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cristian | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Cristian | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…8bfebacked Alexandrova | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Cristian | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Alexandrova | 75c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Alexandrova | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexandrova | 72c | 26.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…375cbacked Alexandrova | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.