Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c72805915588dc639113070bd4d88ef4e2a75a88660e4cfe33228396f220987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 73c | 6,202$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.84 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 16c | 5,879$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.33 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 25c | 5,706$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.52 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 7c | 2,816$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +572.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 11c | 2,585$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 5c | 2,175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +233.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 13c | 2,048$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.54 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,834$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 78c | 1,653$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,645$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…ec03backed No | 37c | 1,379$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 9c | 1,350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.02 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 1,136$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.28 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed No | 25c | 999.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 3c | 969.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 10c | 940.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 24c | 892$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 36c | 850$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…bb2abacked Yes | 77c | 776.83$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 37c | 763$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed Yes | 4c | 585$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 20c | 517.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 43c | 467.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 37c | 464.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 445.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 78c | 436.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 15c | 406$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…ed22backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 391.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.42 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 17c | 375$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Yes | 50c | 365.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Yes | 67c | 288.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 57c | 269.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 26c | 226$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 48c | 221.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…d12ebacked No | 65c | 214.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…da8abacked Yes | 77c | 205.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 33c | 200.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Yes | 53c | 189.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…f498backed Yes | 62c | 189.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 188.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…67f5backed No | 76c | 156.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 23c | 151.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…da8dbacked No | 38c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d3…75e8backed No | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 60c | 140.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…232abacked Yes | 25c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 52c | 129.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a5…94b7backed No | 61c | 125.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 44c | 93.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked Yes | 71c | 93.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes | 35c | 93.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…049dbacked No | 66c | 91.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…b05abacked No | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 74c | 87.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 76c | 87.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 31c | 85.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…4421backed Yes | 45c | 85.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 35c | 80.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed No | 60c | 80.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…b510backed Yes | 42c | 74.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 35c | 70.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 65c | 66.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 39c | 64.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…bedcbacked No | 58c | 56.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 50.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…0383backed Yes | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6a49backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…5311backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1500…397fbacked Yes | 37c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 76c | 46.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…410fbacked No | 57c | 44.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…caf0backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…5e5abacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed Yes | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 43c | 36.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e045backed Yes | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 51c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +693.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 35c | 31.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…f017backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…2ba5backed No | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…6f3fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3031…4c1bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…1481backed Yes | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350a…3502backed No | 64c | 25.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3042…020bbacked No | 64c | 22.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.