TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee4…fa88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+54.6%+$677.8
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.7%+$223.81
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+50.3%+$254.6
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,622.88
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32.1%+$8.57
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$218.98
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,328.49
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$481.36
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$142.18
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$76.51
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.31
Will the JA21 win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+34.8%+$16.31
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.6%+$163.68
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.3%+$939.56
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$32.74
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.97
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.5%+$16.33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$196.16
Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28%+$10.95
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+30.1%+$66.81
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$137.73
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$159.44
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.44
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$107.3
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.9%+$14.36
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+30.3%+$518.5
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$544.74
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$405.62
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.8%+$80.52
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.5%+$6.49
Will "Champagne Problems" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$47.7
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,772Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+35.7%+$632.48
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+48.3%+$88.69
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58.8
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 4 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.3%+$56.09
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.66
Will Chicago record the first snowfall?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37.2%+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+91.3%+$112.67
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$102.36
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51.41
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.54
Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+167.4%+$62.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+82.4%+$59.76
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+54.6%+$31.73
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+38.7%+$15.21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.5%+$69.78
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91.43
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $380?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.3%+$462.52
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47%+$188.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+137.8%+$18.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$958.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.