AI · resolved market
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4e948893c1e9bb4c75e5a1b0eddd6d10fc332244f46272c1b82cefee8433fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa973…f0f6backed No | 73c | 3,493$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…46e7backed No | 60c | 1,432$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 33c | 1,117$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.61 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 47c | 952.49$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 77c | 880.7$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.14 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 38c | 832.76$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 52c | 740.27$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab49…a28ebacked Yes | 67c | 668$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 48c | 646.74$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 4c | 623.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 54c | 561.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…60adbacked Yes | 76c | 508.87$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…09a7backed No | 47c | 464.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 63c | 453.77$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 439.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked Yes | 63c | 437.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 355$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 66c | 349.36$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 329.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 10c | 271.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 47c | 255.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb505…92d3backed No | 23c | 229.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 24c | 206.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…ea38backed Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 60c | 193.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 79c | 188.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed No | 54c | 185.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…49a5backed No | 60c | 168.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…7058backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 30c | 166.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…845dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…a108backed No | 36c | 138.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked No | 35c | 125.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 42c | 119.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…5ef3backed No | 53c | 113.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 47c | 111.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…bb1bbacked No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…c632backed No | 46c | 108.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 34c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…4b7abacked No | 28c | 106.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…a2bcbacked Yes | 72c | 100.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked No | 54c | 100.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…48febacked No | 60c | 100.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 41c | 97.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…f498backed Yes | 24c | 97.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked No | 21c | 96.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…33a1backed No | 52c | 95.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed Yes | 70c | 93.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 41c | 80.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…84b0backed No | 57c | 76.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…31a9backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 42c | 55.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…a31ebacked No | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…a1d1backed Yes | 53c | 51.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…349ebacked No | 57c | 51.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…0b07backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6fd8backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…9ac0backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 44.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…f325backed Yes | 50c | 43.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…a9e2backed Yes | 46c | 43.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 54c | 41.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…e666backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…5a99backed No | 37c | 40.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed No | 50c | 40.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…ee19backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…8bb3backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 56c | 37.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…9c4ebacked Yes | 69c | 35.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…b71ebacked No | 60c | 35.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…30a9backed No | 57c | 34.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…a69fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…6f3fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…a7e7backed No | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 31.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a46…181fbacked No | 57c | 31.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…e618backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…c61fbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…9d04backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…6e58backed Yes | 68c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdf…d16cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…26a4backed Yes | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 49c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…b5c8backed No | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…86d8backed Yes | 79c | 13.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.