TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d0d…9b6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,712
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2438.2%20 W · 223 L+0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 243 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$834.73
Tucker Carlson federally charged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,042.7%+$1,327.39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.08
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$37.26
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.94
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+298%+$134.29
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.06
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.58
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Showing 25 of 243 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2377.2%17 W · 220 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$84.14
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+666.1%+$232.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.76
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.86
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+410.6%+$47.54
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$105.12
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.63
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.83
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.96
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.84
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+828.1%+$587.22
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT18311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.86
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.84
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$49.17
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.94
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.87
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.37
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.6
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+435.5%+$123.38
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.04
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.3
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+370.1%+$125.18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will Solana reach $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will Solana reach $130 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$188.13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.97
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will Solana reach $160 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Solana reach $170 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Solana reach $140 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.76
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.57
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.97
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$58.32
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.59
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.93
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.31
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+933.3%+$1,480.44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$171.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+2,111.3%+$3,990.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT11010%11 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,120.7%+$1,549.25
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.89
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.95
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232.02
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+481.8%+$586.88
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$425.48
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.07
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$158.85
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$183.96
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$133.1
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.75
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$136.86
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$145.82
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$135.29
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$93.99
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.96
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$217.97
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT9418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.92
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+334%+$229.25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,710.8%+$1,640.32
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,120.3%+$358.04
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.86
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$104.05
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.7
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.36
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.19
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+304.9%+$109.94
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.62
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.04
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$118.14
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$93.14
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8711.5%10 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$96.05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$64.68
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.64
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+781.8%+$283.24
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.92
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT6015%9 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.97
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.91
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.07
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.81
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.36
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+320.4%+$239.62
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.06
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$151.83
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.48
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$24.24
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140.9
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.93
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.16
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.76
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.22
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.83
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.88
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.27
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.15
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.96
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4712.8%6 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$154.01
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+191.3%+$309.8
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+296.3%+$600.92
Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$177.49
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140.82
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$330.29
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.47
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$496.63
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.12
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$202.08
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$281.65
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+590.6%+$370.5
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$189.3
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$281.79
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$584.32
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$140.85
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$113.59
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT452.2%1 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-87.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.06
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.77
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.25
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.92
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$800.43
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$279.85
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$347.83
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$494.39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$531.65
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.79
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.99
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.96
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.32
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.83
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.36
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$227.55
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$93.75
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$114.13
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136.4
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$115.19
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$174.15
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+272.6%+$227.04
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$75.26
Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.76
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$219.32
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.61
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46.78
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.98
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$75.8
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+452.2%+$273.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.76
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$43.8
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$166.14
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$118.76
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.52
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.53
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$41.77
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$87.48
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.44
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$174.55
Will Chicago record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$134.65
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.97
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117.97
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+269.8%+$50.34
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$98.5
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$276.25
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.16
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$26.03
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.13
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.17
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+268.5%+$70.79
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.13
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.25
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.97
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$358.05
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.52
Will Google reach $350 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140.06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$41.36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$347.54
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.7%+$79.2
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.24
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.87
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125.3%+$55.47
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.93
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.26
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $185 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.98
Will Tesla dip to $420 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.94
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$41.1
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$90.12
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will Drake release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.71
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.08
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$129.12
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+477%+$622.5
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.91
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$170.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.12
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.77
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+171.1%+$73.84
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.98
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.94
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.63
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.99
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73.88
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$91.76
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+244.8%+$115.02
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+549.1%+$104.05
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.96
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$317.31
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57.79
Will Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.62
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$56.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$100.8
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.94
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$56.21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.06
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.97
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.29
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.67
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$163.15
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$33.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$187.76
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140.88
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.89
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$103.35
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$81.81
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$81.99
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$41.97
Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.13
Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$136.21
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+220.6%+$76.37
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$34.2
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$20.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.26
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.35
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$524.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.