College Football · resolved market
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ec05b9d433fc2a5f903c8fbeaf6af2fdc1f10d0810775d8327a073a4144eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,255$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,972$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed No | 80c | 2,257$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.09 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 73c | 2,202$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.45 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed No | 62c | 2,154$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…c5f3backed Yes | 34c | 1,486$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…2dfcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,225$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 52c | 1,200$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked No | 44c | 1,195$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,072$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…4cd7backed Yes | 18c | 971.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 55c | 955.9$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 13c | 869.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…03aabacked Yes | 18c | 556.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0427…fa44backed Yes | 42c | 539.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…f01dbacked Yes | 18c | 537.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 69c | 441.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…f41ebacked No | 67c | 372.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 35c | 369.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…d286backed Yes | 66c | 222.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 14c | 210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 18c | 167.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…5d9dbacked Yes | 66c | 150.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…462dbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 34c | 138.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 133.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 34c | 129$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…4725backed Yes | 26c | 115.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 44c | 112.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed No | 64c | 111$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…6704backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 33c | 85.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 70c | 81.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…28e0backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…bc63backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597c…dd1abacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 27c | 58.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 54.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…b4b3backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c9…893abacked Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…0836backed Yes | 43c | 34.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 76c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +297.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…d42ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?this page
- Will Biff Poggi be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Brian Kelly be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Jedd Fisch be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Jeff Brohm be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?Yes won
- Will Manny Diaz be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.