TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08f5…28e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.6%+$47.58
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37.7%+$37.65
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jacobe Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$49.19
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$41.96
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.14
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67.4
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.5%+$39.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138%+$19.87
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+106.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$87.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25.2%+$93.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.