UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82ea19268dd5ca172dabb46687be8effbb98fe6c9cba65eab8b484698b8e320

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Coriaof Coria, Gurule
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $368,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $395,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01ba…b77abacked Gurule	23c	110,000$25,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,299.99	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Coria	77c	83,776$64,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,356.22	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Coria	77c	71,561$55,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,459.12	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Gurule	25c	50,000$12,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,390.48	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Gurule	23c	36,725$8,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,446.76	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Coria	77c	24,416$18,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,615.58	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Gurule	16c	18,523$3,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020.58	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gurule	28c	11,771$3,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,280.89	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Coria	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Gurule	13c	9,533$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.27	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Coria	74c	7,974$5,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,073.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb46a…683bbacked Coria	71c	6,646$4,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,927.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Gurule	23c	6,357$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.94	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Coria	77c	6,000$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Coria	77c	5,193$3,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.45	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Gurule	24c	4,191$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Gurule	29c	4,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Coria	75c	3,799$2,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Gurule	23c	3,390$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.7	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Gurule	26c	3,254$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.09	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Coria	77c	3,001$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.14	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Coria	71c	2,815$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.49	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Coria	76c	2,441$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.76	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Gurule	10c	2,400$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Coria	71c	2,400$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Gurule	23c	2,353$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.18	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Gurule	19c	2,326$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.36	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Coria	71c	2,219$1,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.83	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Gurule	23c	2,124$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.52	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Gurule	24c	2,110$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.36	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Gurule	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Gurule	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Coria	76c	1,750$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.96	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Coria	75c	1,727$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.27	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Coria	79c	1,689$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.96	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Coria	73c	1,623$1,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.48	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Coria	71c	1,583$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.1	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	64cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Gurule	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Coria	71c	1,475$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.06	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Coria	77c	1,464$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.65	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed Gurule	22c	1,407$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.46	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Coria	71c	1,338$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Coria	76c	1,320$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.8	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Gurule	22c	1,290$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.79	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Gurule	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+34%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Gurule	25c	1,200$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.99	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Coria	73c	1,192$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.97	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Gurule	22c	1,171$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.73	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Gurule	24c	1,167$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gurule	16c	1,145$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.94	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Gurule	13c	1,062$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.85	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Gurule	27c	1,001$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.27	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Gurule	30c	970.38$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.12	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Gurule	23c	913.04$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Gurule	23c	833.41$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.68	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Gurule	22c	824.58$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.41	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Gurule	29c	774.98$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.45	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Gurule	23c	774$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.02	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Gurule	24c	760$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.4	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Gurule	25c	682.66$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Coria	77c	516.15$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.15	113	64.6%73 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe148…e9d0backed Gurule	19c	514.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Coria	78c	503$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.66	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Coria	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Gurule	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Gurule	24c	487.5$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Gurule	13c	479.64$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.02	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Gurule	21c	479.53$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Gurule	24c	458.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Coria	78c	448.72$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.72	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7056…a5d3backed Gurule	23c	442.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Coria	77c	440$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	243	56.8%138 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Gurule	23c	439.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Gurule	23c	408.97$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Coria	78c	404.49$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.49	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Coria	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Coria	77c	399.99$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Gurule	23c	371.75$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Gurule	23c	330.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Coria	71c	314$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.56	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Coria	71c	310.3$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.29	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Gurule	28c	295.81$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.65	145	43.4%63 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gurule	20c	291.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26e…5067backed Coria	77c	284.34$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.4	82	61%50 W · 32 L	+8.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Coria	78c	280.38$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.68	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Gurule	26c	269.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	248	47.2%117 W · 131 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eba…3b04backed Gurule	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Coria	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Gurule	21c	256.18$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Gurule	20c	250.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Gurule	23c	228.09$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.46	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Coria	71c	227$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.23	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Gurule	29c	225.22$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Coria	77c	213$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.03	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x394e…23d2backed Gurule	5c	212$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012c…478ebacked Coria	70c	200.92$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.57	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Coria	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Coria	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d86…eeefbacked Coria	78c	193.59$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Coria	70c	187.13$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.14	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Alden Coria win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event