TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbcd…7ab2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$59.38
Seattle Redhawks vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$83.19
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$68.87
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$122.94
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)backed Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,303.71
Spread: Washington Huskies (-4.5)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$95.36
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$54.9
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$561.47
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,907.65
Houston Christian Huskies vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.27
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.4
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$164.16
Spread: Canisius Golden Griffins (-1.5)backed Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$109.05
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.7%+$71.81
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.44
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-12.5)backed Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.4%+$52.73
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-5.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50.55
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$29.74
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$39.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$4.32
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+71.9%+$1,226.53
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$751.2
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.9
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$819.28
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.96
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+226.2%+$107.49
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$147.84
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$86.5
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$338.83
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$92.88
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$66.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Moutinho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43%+$326.91
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$781.78
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,050
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$626.75
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.4%+$236.1
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.4%+$424.06
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$272.42
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$243.08
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.12
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$127.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$87.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.