NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd021b36a68e2fcf59f6f07649f94f003abf57923d85734d04a301129c89108ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabef…3004backed Under | 51c | 6,270$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 3,971$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.6 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,401$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 44c | 1,830$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.2 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.71 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 1,380$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,363$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 1,288$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.24 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,205$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 50c | 849.8$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.9 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 808$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 778$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.51 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 70c | 673.09$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 43c | 580$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 510.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 64c | 479.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 57c | 423.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 53c | 337$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 29c | 299.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 16c | 292.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Under | 75c | 266.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 42c | 230$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 43c | 228.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 227$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 37c | 201.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 168.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 46c | 157.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 68c | 124.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 112.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 44c | 108.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 97.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 44c | 86.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 82.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 50c | 76.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 61c | 58.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 58.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 40c | 58.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 42c | 56.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 52c | 53.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed Under | 49c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 40c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 54c | 36.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 72c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 23.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 59c | 22.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed Under | 64c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…cd81backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.